Thursday, August 24, 2006

Say what?

Journalist: "What did Iraq have to do with that?"

Bush: "What did Iraq have to do with what?"

Journalist: "The attack on the World Trade Centre?"

Bush: "Nothing"


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Bush is going to leave Iraq for the next president to clean up, Warwick McFadyen, The Age, 25 August 2006

"WE'RE not leaving, so long as I'm the President." There in nine words is the exit strategy for the United States involvement in Iraq. Depending on your viewpoint, it's either a commitment or an admission of defeat.

George Bush has another 26 months to run on his presidency, which means that by November 2008, the US will have been in Iraq for almost six years. In a couple of months, America will pass the time it spent fighting in World War II — 45 months.

The time span was noted by Senator Edward Kennedy during a hearing this month of the US Senate Armed Services Committee on Iraq and Afghanistan. The senator also noted the cost of the war: $US400 billion ($A524 billion), 2579 killed, 19,000 wounded. And that's just one side of the coin. Iraqi civilian deaths are estimated at more than 40,000.

Bush also mentioned the C word. Civil, that is, as in civil war. He was concerned about the shadow it cast. But the US strategy was to "help the Iraqi people achieve their objective and their dreams, which is a democratic society". The tactics to realise that dream were another matter. Cut and run or stay. To go "would be a huge mistake". Not only for the Iraqis. "It's in our interests that we help this democracy succeed. A failed Iraq would make America less secure … It would give the terrorists and extremists an additional tool besides safe haven, and that is revenues from oil sales."

The President then fell over himself. After he said "the terrorists attacked us and killed 3000 of our citizens", a question was asked: "What did Iraq have to do with that?"

Bush: "What did Iraq have to do with what?"

Q: "The attack on the World Trade Centre?"

Bush: "Nothing, except for its part of — and nobody has ever suggested in this Administration that Saddam Hussein ordered the attack … The lesson of September 11 is take threats before they fully materialise." This is the 1 per cent doctrine, enunciated by Vice-President Dick Cheney, which goes that if there's a 1 per cent chance of something happening, treat it as a 100 per cent certainty and respond accordingly. As a point of record, most of the September 11 attackers came from America's great ally in the Middle East, Saudi Arabia.

No matter. Saddam, a dictator, killer of his countrymen and women, is now on trial and facing a death sentence for crimes against humanity. He was brought to justice because of the US invasion. Yet in the opening of this window for democracy, a spectre grotesque and life-taking has also entered.

It is sectarianism. Last month, about 3500 Iraqis died, according to mortuary and hospital figures. Iraq Body Count, which monitors violent civilian deaths, has calculated that from March last year to this March, 36 people, on average, died each day. In the first year of the invasion it was 20 a day. A total of 789 American soldiers died in the March to March period, according to globalsecurity.org, or two deaths a day.

For months, Iraq has been "sliding towards civil war". At what point on the clicking of death's toll does the situation become "officially" civil war? In the Senate Armed Services hearing, General John Abizaid, commander of the US Central Command, came as close as a military chief has to describing it as such. "I believe that the sectarian violence is probably as bad as I've seen it in Baghdad in particular, and that if not stopped, it is possible that Iraq could move towards civil war." The general also noted the insurgency's "resiliency, it's probably going to last for some time even after US forces depart".

General Peter Pace, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, told the hearing that civil war was a possibility "but that does not have to be a fact. Shia and Sunni are going to have to love their children more than they hate each other." Pace by name, pace by outlook.

The hearing coincided with the disclosure by William Patey, who recently retired as British envoy to Baghdad, that "the prospect of a low-intensity civil war and a de facto division of Iraq is probably more likely at this stage than a successful and substantial transition to a stable democracy".

The figures support this. The New York Times reported that the number of roadside bombs last month was the highest ever, and that since January, attacks against the US and Iraqi forces have doubled. Last month, 2625 bombs were found, of which 1666 exploded. That's 53 explosions every day. If this bombardment were not bad enough, there is the question of winning hearts and minds. The US second-in-command in Iraq, Lieutenant-General Peter Chiarelli, admitted recently that "people who were on the fence or supported us … in the last two years or three years have in fact decided to strike out against us. And you have to ask: Why is that? And I would argue in many instances we are our worst enemy."

Certainly Abu Ghraib and Haditha did not help matters.

Senator John McCain commented to the Senate hearing that US deployments in Iraq to cover trouble spots, such as the recent surge in troops into Baghdad, was policy more along the lines of "a game of whack-a-mole". Some game.

Bush this week spoke of Iraq's impact on the US. "These aren't joyous times … and they're straining the psyche of our country." Bush is only echoing one of the latest opinion polls, by the Pew Research Centre, which found Americans were increasingly pessimistic about Iraq, the fall into civil war, and the military's capabilities of preventing it.

The US has about 133,000 troops in Iraq. It hopes that as the Iraq forces get up to speed (they were dismantled by the US during the invasion), then it can gradually withdraw its own.

At what point in the cycle of violence will that occur? One thing's for certain, by then Bush will have left the scene.

Wednesday, August 23, 2006

Profiling terror

A story from the dark days of apartheid in relation to the mass hysteria on the Malaga flight (Removal of men condemned, August 21): a white woman flying out of Cape Town complained she was seated next to a black man. Told the plane was full, she insisted there were seats free in first class. The stewardess immediately obliged, moving her black neighbour to the front of the plane.
Glyn Ford MEP
Labour, England South West

Monday, August 21, 2006

To fight these reactionaries we must tackle the crisis that they feed off

[...] Every identity has its fundamentalists - the gatekeepers of what is and isn't permissible for those who share that identity. Since we all have access to multiple identities - race, religion, nationality, ethnicity, class - these fundamentalists usually have their work cut out trying to keep everybody in line. As the guardians of authenticity, their job is to deny complexity and impose uniformity.

[...] There is no sensible conversation you can have about Islamic identity that does not address what is happening to Muslims locally and globally.

For the past five years they have been fed on a nightly diet of bombings and occupation in Afghanistan, Iraq and Lebanon; imprisonment and torture in Guantánamo Bay, Belmarsh, Basra and Abu Ghraib; and tales of alleged wanton murder and rape in Hamdania, Haditha, Balad and Mahmudiya.

This excuses nothing but explains a lot. The war on terror did not create Islamic fundamentalism but it has exacerbated it. The government should not change its foreign policy because it makes Muslims angry (it should change it because it is immoral, ineffective and makes virtually the entire world angry). But nor should it treat this anger as though it were the unpredictable response of fanatics who don't watch the news and operate in isolation to world events. At present the government's only response to these trends is greater surveillance of Muslim communities and holding bantustan-style meetings with "community leaders" whose credibility decreases every time they show up at Downing Street. The government's strategy at the moment is to first pathologise and then patronise them.

This won't work. Not for reasons of cultural sensitivity particular to Muslims but political common sense applicable to anyone. Those who refuse to address the issue of poor housing, job prospects and public services in white working-class areas will never address the rise in the racial fundamentalism that has found voice in the British National party. To acknowledge this is not to pander to racism but to display an understanding of its root causes.

Fundamentalists only thrive at times of crisis. At certain moments for certain identities they offer not just the easy way out but what can seem like the only way out. To be serious about combating them one must first be serious about tackling the crisis that gives them leverage. Only when you offer an alternative and more attractive route out of that crisis can you isolate the leaders and win over the followers. To do so is not indulgent but intelligent.

Fear of the unknown

[...] A flight from Malaga to Manchester was delayed this weekend because passengers refused to travel with people they regarded as behaving suspiciously.

A passenger on the flight, Heath Schofield, explained the suspicions. "It was a return holiday flight, full of people in flip-flops and shorts. There were just two people in the whole crowd who looked like they didn't belong there."

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[P]resumably these two gentlemen dressed in warm clothing were the only ones on the flight intelligent enough to check the weather forecast for Manchester before they boarded the plane.
Lyndon Rosser, Cardiff

Saturday, August 12, 2006

not i not i not i

So tired of explaining my religion. So tired of seeing ignorant eyes. So tired of that sick-feeling-in-the-pit-of-my-stomach whenever i hear in the news about an "attack" in the "public transportation" by groups that seem to bear the "hallmarks" of "al Qaeda elements", or "British nationals of Pakistani origin", young men, bearded men, reverts, families, wives, such good neighbours, such nice young men. Then the inevitable onslaught of angry letters-to-the-editor: Muslims can't integrate, they hate our freedoms, kill them all, wipe them all off, uncivilized savages, militant faith, jihad and virgins. So sick and tired of this BS.

i shouldn't have to explain my religion for the freaking umpteenth time. How hard is it to walk down to your local library and check out a book on Islam for yourself? Educate yourself. Don't you live in a supposedly free society? R-e-a-d.

i am Muslim and damn proud of it. And tired of feeling afraid when i'm outside, tired of wondering if those eyes are sizing me up. Tired of my own paranoia, tired of the ignorance in societies, tired of people who refuse to educate themselves. Tired of being judged because i was born with more melanin than some.

Just pick up a damn book and read about Islam if you don't know what it's about.

Thursday, August 03, 2006

9/11 Commission